By Thomas Madison
There are 761 delegates available between Super Tuesday and March 15 in the GOP primary. Many of these are Winner-Take-All states. I included the latest RCP polling for those states which had recent polling data available.
The only state that Trump isn’t clearly dominant in is Ohio, where he has only a five point lead on Ohio governor John Kasich. This is clearly Trump’s race to lose.
Saturday, March 5 -- 155 Delegates Total Kansas........40 Delegates, Proportional, Closed Caucus Trump, +12 Kentucky......46 Delegates, Proportional, Closed Caucus Trump, +13 Louisiana.....46 Delegates, Proportional, Closed Primary Trump, +19 Maine.........23 Delegates, Proportional, Closed Caucus
Sunday, March 6 -- 23 Delegates Total Puerto Rico........23 Delegates, Proportional, Open Primary
Tuesday, March 8 -- 150 Delegates Total Hawaii........19 Delegates, Proportional, Closed Caucus Idaho.........32 Delegates, Proportional, Closed Primary Michigan......59 Delegates, Proportional, Closed Primary Trump, +15 Mississippi...40 Delegates, Proportional, Open Primary Trump, +24
Thursday, March 10 -- 9 Delegates Total Virgin Islands..9 Delegates, Winner Take All, Open Caucus
Saturday, March 12 -- 57 Delegates Total Wash. DC......19 Delegates, Proportional, Closed Convention Guam...........9 Delegates, Unbound, Closed Convention Wyoming.......29 Delegates, Unbound, Closed Caucus
Tuesday, March 15 -- 367 Delegates Total Florida.......99 Delegates, Winner Take All, Closed Primary Trump, +19 Illinois......69 Delegates, Winner Take All, Open Primary Trump, +17 Missouri......52 Delegates, Winner Take All, Open Primary Trump, +12 N Carolina....72 Delegates, Proportional, Open Primary Trump, +10 N Mariana Is...9 Delegates, Winner Take All, Closed Caucus Ohio..........66 Delegates, Winner Take All, Open Primary Trump, +5
H/T The Right Scoop
