By Thomas Madison

There are 761 delegates available between Super Tuesday and March 15 in the GOP primary. Many of these are Winner-Take-All states. I included the latest RCP polling for those states which had recent polling data available.

The only state that Trump isn’t clearly dominant in is Ohio, where he has only a five point lead on Ohio governor John Kasich. This is clearly Trump’s race to lose.

Saturday, March 5 -- 155 Delegates Total

Kansas........40 Delegates, Proportional, Closed Caucus       Trump, +12
Kentucky......46 Delegates, Proportional, Closed Caucus       Trump, +13
Louisiana.....46 Delegates, Proportional, Closed Primary      Trump, +19
Maine.........23 Delegates, Proportional, Closed Caucus
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Sunday, March 6 -- 23 Delegates Total

Puerto Rico........23 Delegates, Proportional, Open Primary

 

Tuesday, March 8 -- 150 Delegates Total

Hawaii........19 Delegates, Proportional, Closed Caucus
Idaho.........32 Delegates, Proportional, Closed Primary
Michigan......59 Delegates, Proportional, Closed Primary       Trump, +15
Mississippi...40 Delegates, Proportional, Open Primary         Trump, +24

 

Thursday, March 10 -- 9 Delegates Total

Virgin Islands..9 Delegates, Winner Take All, Open Caucus

 

Saturday, March 12 -- 57 Delegates Total

Wash. DC......19 Delegates, Proportional, Closed Convention
Guam...........9 Delegates, Unbound, Closed Convention
Wyoming.......29 Delegates, Unbound, Closed Caucus

 

Tuesday, March 15 -- 367 Delegates Total

Florida.......99 Delegates, Winner Take All, Closed Primary     Trump, +19
Illinois......69 Delegates, Winner Take All, Open Primary       Trump, +17
Missouri......52 Delegates, Winner Take All, Open Primary       Trump, +12
N Carolina....72 Delegates, Proportional, Open Primary          Trump, +10
N Mariana Is...9 Delegates, Winner Take All, Closed Caucus
Ohio..........66 Delegates, Winner Take All, Open Primary       Trump, +5

H/T The Right Scoop